Published pre-drawStatistical blend
Balanced draw model
101730596312
55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Result engine · New York · Mega Millions
Mega Millions analytics
Game-specific descriptive analysis from verified occurrences. These patterns do not change the odds of the next draw.
Verified input
133 occurrences
Input through 2026-09-04.
Model gate
133 / 30
A candidate run publishes only after the minimum verified history is stored.
Model status
Published
Every run records its input cutoff, method, and candidate scores.
Official-rule analytics contract
Analysis shaped around how Mega Millions is played
Choose 5 distinct white balls from 1–70 and 1 Mega Ball from 1–24.
White-ball frequencyMega Ball frequency kept separatePair and trio co-occurrenceOdd/even balanceMultiplier distribution
These dimensions define what this game's model may measure; they do not change the official odds.
Verified frequency table
Observed result counts
42 · 1649 · 1618 · 1563 · 1517 · 1434 · 1456 · 1459 · 1411 · 1321 · 1327 · 1330 · 1340 · 1343 · 1310 · 1224 · 1238 · 1248 · 122 · 1113 · 1119 · 1122 · 1136 · 1150 · 114 · 1026 · 1031 · 1047 · 1051 · 1052 · 1055 · 1058 · 105 · 96 · 912 · 916 · 939 · 941 · 957 · 91 · 88 · 814 · 825 · 844 · 862 · 866 · 868 · 869 · 820 · 723 · 732 · 733 · 735 · 737 · 745 · 753 · 754 · 760 · 761 · 764 · 765 · 770 · 73 · 67 · 69 · 646 · 615 · 529 · 567 · 528 · 3
Frequency describes stored history; it is not a winning probability.
Next analytical candidate
Mega Millions · Tuesday · 11:00 PM
101730596312
Target 2026-09-08 · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1 · 132 verified inputs through 2026-09-01 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM · draw 20260901.
This candidate was generated before the target draw from the stored input cutoff. It is not a guarantee and does not change official odds.
Current model field · same locked cutoff
Every model gets its own answer
These are the strategies behind the current Tuesday · 11:00 PM prediction. Each row uses only the 132 verified inputs available through 2026-09-01 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM · draw 20260901.
Published pre-drawMomentum
Recent momentum
11748515517
Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws
Published pre-drawFrequency
Same-draw frequency
101730565912
Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing
Published pre-drawFrequency
All-draw frequency
171842496312
Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws
Published pre-drawControl baseline
Uniform control
24535460678
Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison
The uniform control is a benchmark, not a prediction claim. Comparison rows are labeled separately from the published headline model and never rewritten after the draw.
Walk-forward scorecard
How earlier rankings compared with verified results
Each replay excludes its target result and trains only on earlier stored draws.
| Draw | Model pick | Official result | Winner rank | Grade | Audit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 17 · 18 · 42 · 49 · 63 | 6 · 26 · 34 · 59 · 61 | #40 / #35 / #11 / #14 / #66 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-01 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 17 · 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 | 1 · 22 · 51 · 61 · 63 | #48 / #25 / #37 / #68 / #6 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-28 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 8 · 17 · 29 · 42 · 55 | #48 / #7 / #69 / #3 / #37 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-25 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 7 · 10 · 47 · 48 · 50 | #65 / #18 / #35 / #22 / #26 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-21 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 1 · 25 · 34 · 48 · 57 | #61 / #49 / #15 / #25 / #41 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-18 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 5 · 19 · 30 · 38 · 59 | #37 / #22 / #13 / #20 / #15 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-14 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 3 · 23 · 27 · 46 · 60 | #63 / #61 / #12 / #66 / #62 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-11 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 1 · 20 · 30 · 46 · 68 | #62 / #59 / #18 / #69 / #56 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-07 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 17 · 20 · 32 · 54 · 57 | #10 / #65 / #58 / #59 / #51 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-04 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 14 · 21 · 51 · 55 · 65 | #44 / #10 / #38 / #39 / #60 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-31 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 4 · 18 · 26 · 43 · 51 | #28 / #3 / #36 / #13 / #49 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-28 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 34 · 48 · 49 · 59 · 70 | #17 / #33 / #2 / #20 / #60 | Miss | Why? |
Published model leaderboard
Which models are performing best?
Only candidates locked before their draw count here. Historical replays are excluded.
| Model | Graded draws | Hits | Hit rate | Average winner rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-draw frequency | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Balanced draw model | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Draw-shape transition research | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Recent momentum | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Same-draw frequency | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Uniform control | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | — |