Published pre-drawStatistical blend
Balanced draw model
24248566312
55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Result engine · Connecticut · Mega Millions
Mega Millions analytics
Game-specific descriptive analysis from verified occurrences. These patterns do not change the odds of the next draw.
Verified input
120 occurrences
Input through 2026-07-21.
Model gate
120 / 30
A candidate run publishes only after the minimum verified history is stored.
Model status
Published
Every run records its input cutoff, method, and candidate scores.
Official-rule analytics contract
Analysis shaped around how Mega Millions is played
Choose 5 distinct white balls from 1–70 and 1 Mega Ball from 1–24.
White-ball frequencyMega Ball frequency kept separatePair and trio co-occurrenceOdd/even and low/high balanceSum and spacing bandsMultiplier-adjusted scorecard
These dimensions define what this game's model may measure; they do not change the official odds.
Verified frequency table
Observed result counts
49 · 1518 · 1442 · 1456 · 1463 · 1411 · 1340 · 1317 · 1221 · 1224 · 1227 · 1243 · 1210 · 1113 · 1130 · 1134 · 1136 · 1138 · 1159 · 112 · 1019 · 1022 · 1031 · 1050 · 1052 · 1058 · 104 · 912 · 916 · 939 · 941 · 947 · 948 · 96 · 826 · 855 · 862 · 866 · 869 · 85 · 78 · 714 · 725 · 733 · 735 · 737 · 744 · 745 · 751 · 753 · 757 · 764 · 768 · 79 · 623 · 632 · 654 · 665 · 670 · 61 · 53 · 57 · 515 · 520 · 560 · 561 · 567 · 529 · 446 · 428 · 3
Frequency describes stored history; it is not a winning probability.
Next analytical candidate
Mega Millions · Friday · 11:00 PM
24248566312
Target 2026-07-24 · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1 · 120 verified inputs through 2026-07-21 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM · draw 20260721.
This candidate was generated before the target draw from the stored input cutoff. It is not a guarantee and does not change official odds.
Current model field · same locked cutoff
Every model gets its own answer
These are the strategies behind the current Friday · 11:00 PM prediction. Each row uses only the 120 verified inputs available through 2026-07-21 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM · draw 20260721.
Published pre-drawMomentum
Recent momentum
2548567012
Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws
Published pre-drawFrequency
Same-draw frequency
131821424916
Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing
Published pre-drawFrequency
All-draw frequency
184249566312
Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws
Published pre-drawControl baseline
Uniform control
283135405421
Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison
The uniform control is a benchmark, not a prediction claim. Comparison rows are labeled separately from the published headline model and never rewritten after the draw.
Walk-forward scorecard
How earlier rankings compared with verified results
Each replay excludes its target result and trains only on earlier stored draws.
| Draw | Model pick | Official result | Winner rank | Grade | Audit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 25 · 37 · 59 · 68 · 70 | #53 / #55 / #26 / #58 / #67 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-17 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 18 · 42 · 49 · 56 · 63 | 22 · 34 · 45 · 48 · 55 | #29 / #21 / #55 / #35 / #47 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-14 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 42 · 49 · 63 | 2 · 4 · 10 · 48 · 56 | #25 / #32 / #17 / #44 / #7 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-10 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 42 · 49 · 63 | 2 · 39 · 44 · 46 · 56 | #30 / #34 / #54 / #70 / #12 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-07 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 2 · 31 · 35 · 36 · 63 | #37 / #27 / #52 / #19 / #6 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-03 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 5 · 9 · 29 · 47 · 57 | #46 / #61 / #69 / #33 / #55 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-06-30 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 26 · 41 · 50 · 53 · 62 | #38 / #31 / #27 / #53 / #43 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-06-26 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 5 · 13 · 30 · 33 · 52 | #59 / #15 / #17 / #47 / #27 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-06-23 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 48 · 51 · 60 · 63 · 66 | #50 / #51 / #67 / #12 / #41 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-06-19 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 13 · 16 · 21 · 26 · 50 | #22 / #28 / #12 / #43 / #32 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-06-16 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 12 · 20 · 53 · 67 · 70 | #27 / #64 / #62 / #66 / #67 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-06-12 · Friday · 11:00 PM | 11 · 18 · 40 · 42 · 49 | 9 · 17 · 24 · 39 · 51 | #63 / #10 / #12 / #36 / #60 | Miss | Why? |