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Published prediction scorecard · New York · Take 5 · draw 20260911:evening
Prediction 13 · 20 · 24 · 28 · 30 · result 11 · 14 · 15 · 21 · 38
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
1320242830
2026-09-11 · Evening · 10:30 PM · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
1114152138
0 of 5 main numbers matched · draw 20260911:evening · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 575757. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
338 verified earlier draws · 169 earlier Evening · 10:30 PM draws · input through 2026-09-10 · Midday · 2:30 PM · draw 20260910:midday.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 13 · 20 · 24 · 28 · 30 | 0.032265 | |
| #2 | 20 · 24 · 28 · 30 · 38 | 0.032214 | |
| #3 | 20 · 24 · 25 · 28 · 30 | 0.032211 | |
| #4 | 13 · 20 · 24 · 30 · 38 | 0.03214 | |
| #5 | 13 · 20 · 24 · 25 · 30 | 0.032137 | |
| #6 | 20 · 24 · 28 · 30 · 31 | 0.032122 | |
| #7 | 20 · 24 · 25 · 30 · 38 | 0.032086 | |
| #8 | 13 · 20 · 24 · 30 · 31 | 0.032047 | |
| #9 | 20 · 21 · 24 · 28 · 30 | 0.032047 | |
| #10 | 20 · 24 · 30 · 31 · 38 | 0.031997 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 13 · 20 · 24 · 28 · 30 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 13 · 14 · 20 · 31 · 37 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 24 · 25 · 28 · 30 · 36 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 5; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 10 · 15 · 25 · 36 · 39 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 2/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 3 · 13 · 15 · 16 · 27 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |