Published pre-drawStatistical blend
Balanced draw model
915172126
55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Result engine · New York · Take 5
Take 5 analytics
Game-specific descriptive analysis from verified occurrences. These patterns do not change the odds of the next draw.
Verified input
332 occurrences
Input through 2026-09-07.
Model gate
332 / 30
A candidate run publishes only after the minimum verified history is stored.
Model status
Published
Every run records its input cutoff, method, and candidate scores.
Official-rule analytics contract
Analysis shaped around how Take 5 is played
Choose 5 distinct numbers from 1–39.
Midday and evening modeled separatelyNumber frequencyPair and trio co-occurrenceOdd/even balanceSum and spacing bands
These dimensions define what this game's model may measure; they do not change the official odds.
Verified frequency table
Observed result counts
17 · 5321 · 5313 · 5226 · 5220 · 5031 · 4938 · 484 · 4718 · 4732 · 4733 · 467 · 4519 · 4528 · 4530 · 459 · 4414 · 4415 · 4425 · 4427 · 4337 · 431 · 423 · 4224 · 4229 · 4236 · 408 · 3934 · 3911 · 3839 · 3712 · 3623 · 365 · 356 · 3516 · 3535 · 3510 · 3422 · 342 · 33
Frequency describes stored history; it is not a winning probability.
Next analytical candidate
Take 5 · Midday · 2:30 PM
915172126
Target 2026-09-08 · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1 · 330 verified inputs through 2026-09-06 · Midday · 2:30 PM · draw 20260906:midday.
This candidate was generated before the target draw from the stored input cutoff. It is not a guarantee and does not change official odds.
Current model field · same locked cutoff
Every model gets its own answer
These are the strategies behind the current Midday · 2:30 PM prediction. Each row uses only the 330 verified inputs available through 2026-09-06 · Midday · 2:30 PM · draw 20260906:midday.
Published pre-drawMomentum
Recent momentum
29151719
Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws
Published pre-drawFrequency
Same-draw frequency
917212638
Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing
Published pre-drawFrequency
All-draw frequency
1317202126
Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws
Published pre-drawControl baseline
Uniform control
1214192027
Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison
The uniform control is a benchmark, not a prediction claim. Comparison rows are labeled separately from the published headline model and never rewritten after the draw.
Walk-forward scorecard
How earlier rankings compared with verified results
Each replay excludes its target result and trains only on earlier stored draws.
| Draw | Model pick | Official result | Winner rank | Grade | Audit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 13 · 19 · 31 · 36 · 38 | #4 / #18 / #6 / #28 / #10 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-07 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 7 · 25 · 26 · 27 · 30 | #13 / #19 / #4 / #24 / #18 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-06 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 2 · 14 · 19 · 30 · 31 | #39 / #16 / #17 / #19 / #8 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-06 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 10 · 17 · 20 · 26 · 38 | #38 / #2 / #5 / #4 / #11 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-05 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 2 · 12 · 15 · 17 · 21 | #39 / #34 / #16 / #3 / #1 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-05 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 9 · 15 · 23 · 29 · 35 | #14 / #22 / #35 / #25 / #37 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-04 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 16 · 18 · 23 · 24 · 27 | #34 / #9 / #36 / #23 / #24 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-04 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 8 · 9 · 32 · 37 · 39 | #28 / #20 / #9 / #22 / #30 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-03 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 9 · 19 · 22 · 29 · 37 | #21 / #20 / #38 / #25 / #24 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-03 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 5 · 11 · 19 · 21 · 35 | #33 / #29 / #21 / #3 / #38 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-02 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 4 · 18 · 20 · 30 · 32 | #7 / #10 / #5 / #19 / #12 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-09-02 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | 10 · 18 · 24 · 26 · 39 | #38 / #13 / #24 / #4 / #32 | Miss | Why? |
Published model leaderboard
Which models are performing best?
Only candidates locked before their draw count here. Historical replays are excluded.
| Model | Graded draws | Hits | Hit rate | Average winner rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-draw frequency | 92 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Balanced draw model | 92 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Draw-shape transition research | 90 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Recent momentum | 92 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Same-draw frequency | 92 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Uniform control | 92 | 0 | 0.0% | — |