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Published prediction scorecard · New York · Take 5 · draw 20260910:midday
Prediction 9 · 20 · 21 · 26 · 30 · result 15 · 24 · 25 · 28 · 39
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
920212630
2026-09-10 · Midday · 2:30 PM · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
1524252839
0 of 5 main numbers matched · draw 20260910:midday · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 575757. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
334 verified earlier draws · 167 earlier Midday · 2:30 PM draws · input through 2026-09-08 · Midday · 2:30 PM · draw 20260908:midday.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 9 · 20 · 21 · 26 · 30 | 0.034957 | |
| #2 | 9 · 20 · 26 · 30 · 38 | 0.034551 | |
| #3 | 20 · 21 · 26 · 30 · 38 | 0.034517 | |
| #4 | 9 · 20 · 21 · 30 · 38 | 0.034495 | |
| #5 | 9 · 20 · 25 · 26 · 30 | 0.034474 | |
| #6 | 9 · 17 · 20 · 26 · 30 | 0.034447 | |
| #7 | 9 · 20 · 21 · 26 · 38 | 0.03444 | |
| #8 | 20 · 21 · 25 · 26 · 30 | 0.03444 | |
| #9 | 9 · 20 · 21 · 25 · 30 | 0.034418 | |
| #10 | 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 · 30 | 0.034413 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 9 · 20 · 21 · 26 · 30 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 9 · 17 · 21 · 26 · 38 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 13 · 17 · 20 · 21 · 26 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 9 · 20 · 25 · 30 · 36 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 2; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 6 · 9 · 20 · 31 · 36 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 0/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 1 · 4 · 19 · 26 · 30 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |