Analytics · New York · Mega Millions · draw 20260717
Why 22 ranked #29
This draw audit preserves the model input cutoff, predicted number, complete ranking, and verified result.
Official result
Friday · 11:00 PM
222026-07-17 · draw 20260717
Model prediction
18
Miss · unordered-frequency-v1
Winner's model rank
#29 of 70
Model score 0.015152 · observed 9 times in training.
Official chance: 1 in 70. Every Play Whe number has the same official draw chance. Rank #29 is DrawPick's historical-frequency order, not a different probability or guaranteed edge.
Pre-result input boundary
What the model knew
Training sample: 118 earlier draws · input stopped at 2026-07-14 · Tuesday · 11:00 PM · draw 20260714. The winning draw was excluded from its own ranking.
Evaluation mode: historical walk-forward replay. This recreates what the algorithm would have ranked using only earlier stored draws; it is not represented as a pick that was publicly posted before the draw.
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Number | Model score | Training appearances | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 49 | 0.024242 | 15 | |
| #2 | 18 | 0.022727 | 14 | |
| #3 | 42 | 0.022727 | 14 | |
| #4 | 56 | 0.022727 | 14 | |
| #5 | 63 | 0.022727 | 14 | |
| #6 | 11 | 0.021212 | 13 | |
| #7 | 40 | 0.021212 | 13 | |
| #8 | 17 | 0.019697 | 12 | |
| #9 | 21 | 0.019697 | 12 | |
| #10 | 24 | 0.019697 | 12 |
Winning number 22 ranked #29 with score 0.015152 and 9 training appearances.