Published pre-drawStatistical blend
Balanced slot model
4441
55% same-slot smoothed frequency + 30% all-draw smoothed frequency + 15% recency weight
Result engine · Trinidad & Tobago · Pick 4
Pick 4 analytics
Game-specific descriptive analysis from verified occurrences. These patterns do not change the odds of the next draw.
Verified input
469 occurrences
Input through 2026-07-24.
Model gate
469 / 30
A candidate run publishes only after the minimum verified history is stored.
Model status
Published
Every run records its input cutoff, method, and candidate scores.
Official-rule analytics contract
Analysis shaped around how Pick 4 is played
Choose 4 ordered digits from four separate 0–9 pools.
Each draw time modeled separatelyPosition-by-position digit frequencyCorrect-order versus any-order outcomesRepeated-digit classesFront-3 and back-3 patternsDigit sum and transitions
These dimensions define what this game's model may measure; they do not change the official odds.
Verified frequency table
Observed result counts
4 · 2042 · 2018 · 2001 · 1947 · 1899 · 1876 · 1843 · 1785 · 1770 · 162
Frequency describes stored history; it is not a winning probability.
Next analytical candidate
Pick 4 · 7:00 PM
4441
Target 2026-07-24 · slot-bayesian-recency-v1 · 469 verified inputs through 2026-07-24 · 1:00 PM · draw 15611.
This candidate was generated before the target draw from the stored input cutoff. It is not a guarantee and does not change official odds.
Current model field · same locked cutoff
Every model gets its own answer
These are the strategies behind the current 7:00 PM prediction. Each row uses only the 469 verified inputs available through 2026-07-24 · 1:00 PM · draw 15611.
Published pre-drawMomentum
Recent position momentum
4815
Position-weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws
Published pre-drawGap analysis
Longest position gaps
6700
Longest time since each digit last appeared in its position; descriptive only, not a due-number claim
Published pre-drawSequence history
Position transition pattern
2340
Smoothed position-by-position outcomes that followed the latest digit before this draw slot
Published pre-drawFrequency
Same-time position frequency
2042
Smoothed digit frequency by position for this exact draw time
Published pre-drawFrequency
All-draw position frequency
3278
Smoothed digit frequency by position across all stored draw times
Published pre-drawControl baseline
Uniform random control
9812
Deterministic pre-draw uniform ordering used only as a comparison baseline
The uniform control is a benchmark, not a prediction claim. Comparison rows are labeled separately from the published headline model and never rewritten after the draw.
Walk-forward scorecard
How earlier rankings compared with verified results
Each replay excludes its target result and trains only on earlier stored draws.
| Draw | Model pick | Official result | Winner rank | Grade | Audit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 · 1:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 3 · 6 · 6 · 5 | #1 / #4 / #7 / #7 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-24 · 10:30 AM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 4 · 4 · 2 · 6 | #4 / #2 / #9 / #5 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-23 · 7:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 4 · 8 · 8 · 1 | #4 / #6 / #3 / #3 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-23 · 4:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 4 · 8 · 1 · 9 | #5 / #8 / #8 / #9 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-23 · 1:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 5 · 2 · 5 · 5 | #9 / #1 / #2 / #8 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-23 · 10:30 AM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 4 · 1 · 9 · 6 | #5 / #8 / #4 / #6 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-22 · 7:00 PM | 1 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 3 · 2 · 4 · 7 | #2 / #1 / #6 / #8 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-22 · 4:00 PM | 1 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 5 · 3 · 1 · 9 | #9 / #5 / #9 / #9 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-22 · 1:00 PM | 1 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 7 · 2 · 7 · 7 | #8 / #1 / #1 / #8 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-22 · 10:30 AM | 1 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 3 · 9 · 4 · 9 | #2 / #3 / #6 / #9 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-21 · 7:00 PM | 1 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 5 · 3 · 5 · 9 | #9 / #5 / #3 / #10 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-21 · 4:00 PM | 1 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 5 · 3 · 2 · 8 | #9 / #5 / #9 / #1 | Miss | Why? |
Published model leaderboard
Which models are performing best?
Only candidates locked before their draw count here. Historical replays are excluded.
| Model | Graded draws | Hits | Hit rate | Average winner rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recent position momentum | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4657.33 |
| All-draw position frequency | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4788.67 |
| Balanced slot model | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4977.0 |
| Uniform random control | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5070.83 |
| Same-time position frequency | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5201.0 |
| Longest position gaps | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5444.0 |
| Position transition pattern | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 6518.0 |