Published prediction scorecard · New York · Powerball · draw 2026-08-17
Prediction 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 · result 8 · 15 · 25 · 49 · 65 + Powerball 22
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
63036596425
2026-08-17 · 10:59 PM ET · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
81525496522
0 of 5 main numbers matched · Powerball missed · draw 2026-08-17 · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 292201338. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
69 verified earlier draws · 69 earlier 10:59 PM ET draws · input through 2026-08-12 · 10:59 PM ET · draw 2026-08-12.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024547 | |
| #2 | 4 · 6 · 30 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024314 | |
| #3 | 4 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024285 | |
| #4 | 4 · 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 + Powerball 25 | 0.024248 | |
| #5 | 4 · 6 · 30 · 36 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024248 | |
| #6 | 6 · 30 · 50 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024201 | |
| #7 | 30 · 36 · 50 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024173 | |
| #8 | 3 · 6 · 30 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024154 | |
| #9 | 6 · 14 · 30 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024136 | |
| #10 | 6 · 30 · 36 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 25 | 0.024136 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 3 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 3 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 4 · 6 · 26 · 48 · 54 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 7; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 6 · 9 · 37 · 55 · 59 + Powerball 12 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 2/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 1 · 7 · 10 · 37 · 42 + Powerball 16 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |