Published prediction scorecard · New York · Powerball · draw 2026-08-15
Prediction 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 · result 5 · 8 · 27 · 29 · 63 + Powerball 13
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
63036596425
2026-08-15 · 10:59 PM ET · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
5827296313
0 of 5 main numbers matched · Powerball missed · draw 2026-08-15 · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 292201338. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
68 verified earlier draws · 68 earlier 10:59 PM ET draws · input through 2026-08-10 · 10:59 PM ET · draw 2026-08-10.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.025441 | |
| #2 | 6 · 30 · 36 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 25 | 0.025156 | |
| #3 | 6 · 30 · 50 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.025156 | |
| #4 | 6 · 30 · 36 · 50 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.025091 | |
| #5 | 30 · 36 · 50 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.025073 | |
| #6 | 6 · 14 · 30 · 36 · 59 + Powerball 25 | 0.025026 | |
| #7 | 6 · 14 · 30 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.025026 | |
| #8 | 3 · 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 + Powerball 25 | 0.024984 | |
| #9 | 3 · 6 · 30 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.024984 | |
| #10 | 6 · 14 · 30 · 36 · 64 + Powerball 25 | 0.02496 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 6 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 3 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 3 · 30 · 36 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 6 · 9 · 30 · 48 · 54 + Powerball 25 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 9; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 6 · 14 · 37 · 54 · 64 + Powerball 26 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 2/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 1 · 12 · 35 · 62 · 67 + Powerball 23 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |