Published prediction scorecard · New York · Powerball · draw 2026-07-25
Prediction 14 · 17 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 · result 3 · 4 · 24 · 36 · 47 + Powerball 17
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
14174450593
2026-07-25 · 10:59 PM ET · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
3424364717
0 of 5 main numbers matched · Powerball missed · draw 2026-07-25 · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 292201338. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
60 verified earlier draws · 60 earlier 10:59 PM ET draws · input through 2026-07-22 · 10:59 PM ET · draw 2026-07-22.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 14 · 17 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025817 | |
| #2 | 3 · 14 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025755 | |
| #3 | 14 · 36 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025752 | |
| #4 | 14 · 44 · 50 · 52 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.02569 | |
| #5 | 14 · 44 · 50 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 3 | 0.02569 | |
| #6 | 14 · 38 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025618 | |
| #7 | 14 · 44 · 50 · 56 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025422 | |
| #8 | 14 · 18 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025356 | |
| #9 | 3 · 17 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025101 | |
| #10 | 17 · 36 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | 0.025098 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 14 · 17 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 3 · 14 · 52 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 3 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 3 · 14 · 52 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 3 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 2 · 9 · 44 · 50 · 59 + Powerball 3 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 18 · 24 · 33 · 49 · 64 + Powerball 24 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests a pre-declared structural shape after earlier results with sum-family 4; exact-number scoring remains independent | Structural pattern research | 14 · 50 · 52 · 59 · 64 + Powerball 3 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 1/5 features | Published before draw |