Analytics · New York · Powerball · draw 2026-07-04
Why 17 ranked #15
This draw audit preserves the model input cutoff, predicted number, complete ranking, and verified result.
Official result
10:59 PM ET
172026-07-04 · draw 2026-07-04
Model prediction
3
Miss · unordered-frequency-v1
Winner's model rank
#15 of 69
Model score 0.018519 · observed 5 times in training.
Official chance: 1 in 69. Every Play Whe number has the same official draw chance. Rank #15 is DrawPick's historical-frequency order, not a different probability or guaranteed edge.
Pre-result input boundary
What the model knew
Training sample: 51 earlier draws · input stopped at 2026-07-01 · 10:59 PM ET · draw 2026-07-01. The winning draw was excluded from its own ranking.
Evaluation mode: historical walk-forward replay. This recreates what the algorithm would have ranked using only earlier stored draws; it is not represented as a pick that was publicly posted before the draw.
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Number | Model score | Training appearances | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 3 | 0.027778 | 8 | |
| #2 | 52 | 0.027778 | 8 | |
| #3 | 64 | 0.027778 | 8 | |
| #4 | 16 | 0.024691 | 7 | |
| #5 | 30 | 0.024691 | 7 | |
| #6 | 42 | 0.024691 | 7 | |
| #7 | 21 | 0.021605 | 6 | |
| #8 | 36 | 0.021605 | 6 | |
| #9 | 41 | 0.021605 | 6 | |
| #10 | 47 | 0.021605 | 6 |
Winning number 17 ranked #15 with score 0.018519 and 5 training appearances.