Published prediction scorecard · New York · Money Dots · draw 2991426
Prediction 4 · result 2
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
4
2026-07-24 · 27:12 · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Complete line rank
#9 of 80
Score 0.016447 in the locked ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 80. Rank #9 is DrawPick's historical ordering; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
500 verified earlier draws · 1 earlier 27:12 draws · input through 2026-07-23 · 27:24 · draw 2991078.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Number | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 0.026177 | ||
| #2 | 0.021803 | ||
| #3 | 0.021201 | ||
| #4 | 0.019472 | ||
| #5 | 0.019302 | ||
| #6 | 0.01904 | ||
| #7 | 0.018091 | ||
| #8 | 0.017141 | ||
| #9 | 0.016447 | Official line | |
| #10 | 0.016015 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 4 | #9 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 4 | #3 | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 67 | #2 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 53 | #12 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 8; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 22 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | #5 | Pattern miss · 4/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 56 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |