Published prediction scorecard · New York · LOTTO · draw 20260822
Prediction 2 · 24 · 31 · 34 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 · result 22 · 27 · 29 · 30 · 34 · 50 + Bonus 6
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
2243134353742
2026-08-22 · Saturday · 8:15 PM · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
2227293034506
1 of 6 main numbers matched · Bonus missed · draw 20260822 · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 2658390966. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
127 verified earlier draws · 64 earlier Saturday · 8:15 PM draws · input through 2026-08-15 · Saturday · 8:15 PM · draw 20260815.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 2 · 24 · 31 · 34 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 | 0.025272 | |
| #2 | 2 · 6 · 24 · 31 · 34 · 35 + Bonus 42 | 0.0251 | |
| #3 | 2 · 6 · 24 · 31 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 | 0.025086 | |
| #4 | 2 · 24 · 28 · 31 · 34 · 35 + Bonus 42 | 0.025076 | |
| #5 | 2 · 6 · 31 · 34 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 | 0.025075 | |
| #6 | 2 · 24 · 28 · 31 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 | 0.025063 | |
| #7 | 2 · 28 · 31 · 34 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 | 0.025052 | |
| #8 | 2 · 21 · 24 · 31 · 34 · 35 + Bonus 42 | 0.025012 | |
| #9 | 2 · 9 · 24 · 31 · 34 · 35 + Bonus 42 | 0.025002 | |
| #10 | 2 · 21 · 24 · 31 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 | 0.024998 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 2 · 24 · 31 · 34 · 35 · 37 + Bonus 42 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 2 · 13 · 24 · 31 · 35 · 45 + Bonus 42 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 2 · 6 · 15 · 31 · 34 · 37 + Bonus 42 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 2 · 6 · 9 · 14 · 21 · 57 + Bonus 32 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 8; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 14 · 28 · 31 · 34 · 43 · 57 + Bonus 32 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 0/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 5 · 15 · 18 · 22 · 36 · 40 + Bonus 49 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |