Published prediction scorecard · New York · LOTTO · draw 20260819
Prediction 2 · 17 · 31 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 · result 16 · 18 · 19 · 22 · 29 · 52 + Bonus 43
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
2173134414348
2026-08-19 · Wednesday · 8:15 PM · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
16181922295243
0 of 6 main numbers matched · Bonus missed · draw 20260819 · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 2658390966. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
126 verified earlier draws · 63 earlier Wednesday · 8:15 PM draws · input through 2026-08-12 · Wednesday · 8:15 PM · draw 20260812.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 2 · 17 · 31 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.024732 | |
| #2 | 2 · 17 · 34 · 38 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.024569 | |
| #3 | 2 · 31 · 34 · 38 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.02455 | |
| #4 | 2 · 17 · 21 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.024528 | |
| #5 | 2 · 17 · 22 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.024515 | |
| #6 | 2 · 21 · 31 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.02451 | |
| #7 | 2 · 22 · 31 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.024497 | |
| #8 | 2 · 17 · 34 · 37 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.024488 | |
| #9 | 2 · 6 · 17 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.024474 | |
| #10 | 2 · 31 · 34 · 37 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | 0.02447 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 2 · 17 · 31 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 1 · 17 · 29 · 34 · 41 · 43 + Bonus 48 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 2 · 15 · 31 · 34 · 37 · 45 + Bonus 48 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 2 · 9 · 14 · 21 · 31 · 57 + Bonus 26 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 9; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 2 · 21 · 24 · 31 · 35 · 57 + Bonus 29 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 0/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 5 · 17 · 23 · 36 · 53 · 55 + Bonus 40 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |