Published prediction scorecard · New York · LOTTO · draw 20260812
Prediction 2 · 15 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 41 + Bonus 48 · result 14 · 31 · 34 · 43 · 46 · 57 + Bonus 26
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
2151721224148
2026-08-12 · Wednesday · 8:15 PM · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1
Exact model miss
Verified result
14313443465726
0 of 6 main numbers matched · Bonus missed · draw 20260812 · open result source ↗
Complete line rank
Not in locked field
The full official line was not present in this snapshot ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 2658390966. No complete-line rank was recorded for this result; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
124 verified earlier draws · 62 earlier Wednesday · 8:15 PM draws · input through 2026-08-05 · Wednesday · 8:15 PM · draw 20260805.
Headline method: 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Complete line | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 2 · 15 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024389 | |
| #2 | 2 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 34 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024389 | |
| #3 | 15 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 34 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024342 | |
| #4 | 2 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 37 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024327 | |
| #5 | 2 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 38 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024312 | |
| #6 | 15 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 37 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024279 | |
| #7 | 17 · 21 · 22 · 34 · 37 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024279 | |
| #8 | 2 · 6 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024265 | |
| #9 | 15 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 38 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024264 | |
| #10 | 17 · 21 · 22 · 34 · 38 · 41 + Bonus 48 | 0.024264 |
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced draw model 55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only | Statistical blend | 2 · 15 · 17 · 21 · 22 · 41 + Bonus 48 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-draw frequency Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing | Frequency | 1 · 2 · 6 · 17 · 29 · 41 + Bonus 48 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws | Frequency | 2 · 6 · 15 · 34 · 37 · 45 + Bonus 48 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 8 · 21 · 22 · 30 · 41 · 42 + Bonus 19 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |
| Draw-shape transition research Tests whether the next unordered field preserves a historically recurring shape after earlier fields with sum-family 3; white-ball shape and bonus-ball evidence stay separate | Structural pattern research | 9 · 17 · 21 · 30 · 42 · 53 + Bonus 2 Research comparison · 5 pre-declared structural features | Not ranked | Pattern miss · 2/5 features | Published before draw |
| Uniform control Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison | Control baseline | 11 · 25 · 37 · 53 · 54 · 57 + Bonus 12 | Not ranked | Miss | Published before draw |