Published prediction scorecard · Trinidad & Tobago · Play Whe · draw 27216
Prediction 11 · result 6
This comparison uses the immutable snapshot created before this exact draw. The prediction is never rewritten after the result.
Pre-draw prediction
11
2026-07-23 · 4:00 PM · slot-bayesian-recency-v1
Complete line rank
#22 of 36
Score 0.018794 in the locked ranking.
Complete-line chance: 1 in 36. Rank #22 is DrawPick's historical ordering; it does not change the lottery odds or guarantee an edge.
Locked evidence
What the model knew before the draw
28 verified earlier draws · 7 earlier 4:00 PM draws · input through 2026-07-22 · 4:00 PM · draw 27212.
Headline method: 55% same-slot smoothed frequency + 30% all-draw smoothed frequency + 15% recency weight
Complete comparison
Top 10 before this result
| Rank | Number | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 11 | 0.052062 | |
| #2 | 29 | 0.051486 | |
| #3 | 35 | 0.04733 | |
| #4 | 19 | 0.042643 | |
| #5 | 34 | 0.041535 | |
| #6 | 25 | 0.041327 | |
| #7 | 28 | 0.041327 | |
| #8 | 2 | 0.04096 | |
| #9 | 14 | 0.04096 | |
| #10 | 5 | 0.036272 |
Winning line 6 ranked #22 before the draw.
Model field
Which model chose what?
Published rows were locked before the draw. Replay rows were calculated afterward from the same locked input and do not count as live predictions.
| Model | Type | Choice | Complete-line rank | Grade | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced slot model 55% same-slot smoothed frequency + 30% all-draw smoothed frequency + 15% recency weight | Statistical blend | 11 | #22 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Same-time frequency Smoothed frequency for this exact draw time | Frequency | 2 | #11 | Miss | Published before draw |
| All-draw frequency Smoothed frequency across all stored draw times | Frequency | 35 | #22 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Recent momentum Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws | Momentum | 11 | #16 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Longest gap Longest time since last appearance; descriptive only, not a due-number claim | Gap analysis | 3 | #3 | Miss | Published before draw |
| After-mark transition Observed numbers following earlier appearances of the latest mark 11, with smoothing | Sequence history | 1 | #6 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Uniform random control Deterministic pre-draw uniform ordering used only as a comparison baseline | Control baseline | 7 | #14 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Traditional partner momentum Maps the 12 most recent earlier marks to their two documented chart partners (+15 and +28 with 1-36 wrap), then applies recency weights | Traditional Play Whe chart | 7 | #21 | Miss | Published before draw |
| Glennis Alfred line model Groups all 36 marks into nine equal digital-root lines, scores recent line momentum and transitions after line 2, then rotates among the forms in the leading line by appearance gap | Play Whe line reasoning | 10 Line 1 · forms 1 · 10 · 19 · 28 | #17 | Line miss | Historical replay |