Pre-draw analytics · Connecticut · Play3 with Wild Ball
Why 4 · 0 · 2 for Day
This is a target-specific prediction snapshot for 2026-10-12. It is locked before the result and does not get copied across other draw times.
Complete prediction line
402
2026-10-12 · Day
Same-draw evidence
263 Day draws
526 verified Play3 with Wild Ball draws total.
Input cutoff
slot-bayesian-recency-v1
Through 2026-10-11 · Night · draw 2026-10-11-night.
Headline model method: 55% same-slot smoothed frequency + 30% all-draw smoothed frequency + 15% recency weight Every model below uses the same locked cutoff but a different documented method. A complete valid line remains 1 in 1000.
Independent model field
Every model gets its own answer
All rows use the same locked pre-draw cutoff. The uniform control is a benchmark; game-specific cultural strategies are labeled separately from statistical models.
| Model | Type | Choice | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced slot model | Statistical blend | 4 · 0 · 2 | 55% same-slot smoothed frequency + 30% all-draw smoothed frequency + 15% recency weight |
| Same-time position frequency | Frequency | 4 · 5 · 2 | Smoothed digit frequency by position for this exact draw time |
| All-draw position frequency | Frequency | 4 · 2 · 2 | Smoothed digit frequency by position across all stored draw times |
| Recent position momentum | Momentum | 1 · 0 · 2 | Position-weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws |
| Longest position gaps | Gap analysis | 3 · 9 · 3 | Longest time since each digit last appeared in its position; descriptive only, not a due-number claim |
| Position transition pattern | Sequence history | 2 · 5 · 0 | Smoothed position-by-position outcomes that followed the latest digit before this draw slot |
| Sequence-shape transition research | Structural pattern research | 2 · 5 · 0 | Tests whether an ordered result shape recurs after earlier results with sum-family 5; exact-number scoring remains independent |
| Uniform random control | Control baseline | 1 · 2 · 1 | Deterministic pre-draw uniform ordering used only as a comparison baseline |
Top 10 for Day
| Rank | Complete line | Score |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | 4 · 0 · 2 | 0.140327 |
| #2 | 8 · 0 · 2 | 0.137413 |
| #3 | 4 · 8 · 2 | 0.137277 |
| #4 | 4 · 2 · 2 | 0.13551 |
| #5 | 4 · 5 · 2 | 0.134744 |
| #6 | 4 · 6 · 2 | 0.134531 |
| #7 | 8 · 8 · 2 | 0.134363 |
| #8 | 8 · 2 · 2 | 0.132596 |
| #9 | 8 · 5 · 2 | 0.13183 |
| #10 | 8 · 6 · 2 | 0.131617 |