Published pre-drawStatistical blend
Balanced draw model
913172632
55% same-draw smoothed number frequency + 30% all-draw frequency + 15% recency; unique combinations only
Result engine · New York · Take 5
Take 5 analytics
Game-specific descriptive analysis from verified occurrences. These patterns do not change the odds of the next draw.
Verified input
242 occurrences
Input through 2026-07-24.
Model gate
242 / 30
A candidate run publishes only after the minimum verified history is stored.
Model status
Published
Every run records its input cutoff, method, and candidate scores.
Official-rule analytics contract
Analysis shaped around how Take 5 is played
Choose 5 distinct numbers from 1–39.
Midday and evening modeled separatelyNumber frequencyPair and trio co-occurrenceOdd/even balanceSum and spacing bands
These dimensions define what this game's model may measure; they do not change the official odds.
Verified frequency table
Observed result counts
13 · 4428 · 3917 · 3825 · 3824 · 3726 · 3731 · 3732 · 3733 · 374 · 357 · 3521 · 3520 · 341 · 336 · 339 · 3314 · 333 · 3238 · 3218 · 3134 · 318 · 3030 · 3012 · 2915 · 2937 · 2919 · 2829 · 2811 · 2727 · 275 · 2639 · 252 · 2422 · 2436 · 2410 · 2316 · 2323 · 2335 · 20
Frequency describes stored history; it is not a winning probability.
Next analytical candidate
Take 5 · Midday · 2:30 PM
913172632
Target 2026-07-25 · unordered-bayesian-recency-v1 · 240 verified inputs through 2026-07-23 · Midday · 2:30 PM · draw 20260723:midday.
This candidate was generated before the target draw from the stored input cutoff. It is not a guarantee and does not change official odds.
Current model field · same locked cutoff
Every model gets its own answer
These are the strategies behind the current Midday · 2:30 PM prediction. Each row uses only the 240 verified inputs available through 2026-07-23 · Midday · 2:30 PM · draw 20260723:midday.
Published pre-drawMomentum
Recent momentum
913263032
Weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws
Published pre-drawFrequency
Same-draw frequency
79172125
Smoothed whole-draw frequency for this drawing
Published pre-drawFrequency
All-draw frequency
1317242528
Smoothed frequency across all earlier draws
Published pre-drawControl baseline
Uniform control
3492728
Deterministic pre-draw uniform comparison
The uniform control is a benchmark, not a prediction claim. Comparison rows are labeled separately from the published headline model and never rewritten after the draw.
Walk-forward scorecard
How earlier rankings compared with verified results
Each replay excludes its target result and trains only on earlier stored draws.
| Draw | Model pick | Official result | Winner rank | Grade | Audit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 7 · 14 · 25 · 31 · 33 | #12 / #18 / #5 / #8 / #9 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-24 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 13 · 14 · 15 · 28 · 34 | #1 / #19 / #26 / #3 / #23 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-23 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 7 · 8 · 30 · 32 · 33 | #15 / #22 / #24 / #8 / #11 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-23 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 9 · 10 · 17 · 18 · 26 | #17 / #38 / #3 / #20 / #6 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-22 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 4 · 23 · 24 · 27 · 34 | #11 / #38 / #5 / #31 / #24 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-22 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 6 · 9 · 13 · 15 · 30 | #16 / #18 / #1 / #29 / #27 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-21 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 2 · 16 · 19 · 32 · 37 | #35 / #37 / #29 / #9 / #26 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-21 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 5 · 13 · 19 · 26 · 28 | #31 / #1 / #29 / #8 / #4 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-20 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 4 · 6 · 8 · 32 · 33 | #13 / #17 / #23 / #10 / #11 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-20 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 13 · 14 · 25 · 37 · 38 | #1 / #19 / #5 / #28 / #18 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-19 · Evening · 10:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 24 · 25 · 28 | 3 · 11 · 17 · 20 · 31 | #15 / #28 / #3 / #14 / #8 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-07-19 · Midday · 2:30 PM | 13 · 17 · 21 · 25 · 28 | 24 · 34 · 36 · 38 · 39 | #6 / #25 / #35 / #20 / #33 | Miss | Why? |
Published model leaderboard
Which models are performing best?
Only candidates locked before their draw count here. Historical replays are excluded.
| Model | Graded draws | Hits | Hit rate | Average winner rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-draw frequency | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Balanced draw model | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Recent momentum | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Same-draw frequency | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | — |
| Uniform control | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | — |