Published pre-drawStatistical blend
Balanced slot model
2285
55% same-slot smoothed frequency + 30% all-draw smoothed frequency + 15% recency weight
Result engine · Trinidad & Tobago · Pick 4
Pick 4 analytics
Game-specific descriptive analysis from verified occurrences. These patterns do not change the odds of the next draw.
Verified input
571 occurrences
Input through 2026-08-18.
Model gate
571 / 30
A candidate run publishes only after the minimum verified history is stored.
Model status
Published
Every run records its input cutoff, method, and candidate scores.
Official-rule analytics contract
Analysis shaped around how Pick 4 is played
Choose 4 ordered digits from four separate 0–9 pools.
Each draw time modeled separatelyPosition-by-position digit frequencyCorrect-order versus any-order outcomesRepeated-digit classesFront-3 and back-3 patternsDigit sum and transitions
These dimensions define what this game's model may measure; they do not change the official odds.
Verified frequency table
Observed result counts
8 · 2514 · 2482 · 2397 · 2323 · 2271 · 2269 · 2236 · 2215 · 2130 · 204
Frequency describes stored history; it is not a winning probability.
Next analytical candidate
Pick 4 · 10:30 AM
2285
Target 2026-09-08 · slot-bayesian-recency-v1 · 571 verified inputs through 2026-08-18 · 7:00 PM · draw 15713.
This candidate was generated before the target draw from the stored input cutoff. It is not a guarantee and does not change official odds.
Current model field · same locked cutoff
Every model gets its own answer
These are the strategies behind the current 10:30 AM prediction. Each row uses only the 571 verified inputs available through 2026-08-18 · 7:00 PM · draw 15713.
Published pre-drawMomentum
Recent position momentum
2445
Position-weighted appearances in the 12 most recent earlier draws
Published pre-drawGap analysis
Longest position gaps
5577
Longest time since each digit last appeared in its position; descriptive only, not a due-number claim
Published pre-drawSequence history
Position transition pattern
6358
Smoothed position-by-position outcomes that followed the latest digit before this draw slot
Published pre-drawFrequency
Same-time position frequency
3288
Smoothed digit frequency by position for this exact draw time
Published pre-drawFrequency
All-draw position frequency
3278
Smoothed digit frequency by position across all stored draw times
Published pre-drawControl baseline
Uniform random control
7784
Deterministic pre-draw uniform ordering used only as a comparison baseline
The uniform control is a benchmark, not a prediction claim. Comparison rows are labeled separately from the published headline model and never rewritten after the draw.
Walk-forward scorecard
How earlier rankings compared with verified results
Each replay excludes its target result and trains only on earlier stored draws.
| Draw | Model pick | Official result | Winner rank | Grade | Audit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 · 7:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 2 · 1 · 0 · 0 | #3 / #9 / #6 / #3 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-18 · 4:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 7 · 6 · 4 · 6 | #6 / #7 / #4 / #5 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-18 · 1:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 2 · 4 · 4 · 5 | #3 / #3 / #4 / #7 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-18 · 10:30 AM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 7 · 0 · 1 · 5 | #6 / #10 / #6 / #7 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-17 · 7:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 8 · 8 · 4 · 4 | #8 / #2 / #4 / #2 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-17 · 4:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 2 · 9 · 8 · 6 | #4 / #6 / #2 / #5 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-17 · 1:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 3 · 7 · 8 · 6 | #1 / #5 / #3 / #5 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-17 · 10:30 AM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 2 · 3 · 0 · 5 | #5 / #4 / #7 / #7 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-16 · 7:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 2 · 7 · 3 · 5 | #5 / #6 / #10 / #7 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-16 · 4:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 1 · 4 · 4 · 9 | #2 / #3 / #4 / #8 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-16 · 1:00 PM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 8 · 7 · 1 · 2 | #8 / #6 / #7 / #6 | Miss | Why? |
| 2026-08-16 · 10:30 AM | 3 · 2 · 7 · 8 | 9 · 8 · 5 · 6 | #4 / #2 / #3 / #5 | Miss | Why? |
Published model leaderboard
Which models are performing best?
Only candidates locked before their draw count here. Historical replays are excluded.
| Model | Graded draws | Hits | Hit rate | Average winner rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sequence-shape transition research | 100 | 0 | 0.0% | 267.8 |
| Longest position gaps | 107 | 0 | 0.0% | 4962.54 |
| Same-time position frequency | 108 | 0 | 0.0% | 4977.28 |
| All-draw position frequency | 108 | 0 | 0.0% | 5053.26 |
| Recent position momentum | 108 | 0 | 0.0% | 5103.36 |
| Balanced slot model | 108 | 0 | 0.0% | 5116.57 |
| Uniform random control | 108 | 0 | 0.0% | 5227.97 |
| Position transition pattern | 107 | 0 | 0.0% | 5466.24 |